Development and validation of a novel scoring system based on a nomogram for predicting inadequate bowel preparation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Adequate bowel preparation (BP) is crucial for the diagnosis of colorectal diseases. Identifying patients at risk of inadequate BP allows for targeted interventions and improved outcomes. We aimed to develop a model for predicting inadequate BP based on preparation-related factors. METHODS: Adult outpatients scheduled for colonoscopy between May 2022 and October 2022 were enrolled. One set (N = 913) was used to develop and internally validate the predictive model. The primary predictive model was displayed as a nomogram and then modified into a novel scoring system, which was externally validated in an independent set (N = 177). Inadequate BP was defined as a Boston Bowel Preparedness Scale (BBPS) score of less than 2 for any colonic segment. The model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Independent factors included in the prediction model were stool frequency ≤ 5 (15 points), preparation-to-colonoscopy interval ≥ 5 h (15 points), incomplete dosage (100 points), non-split dose (90 points), unrestricted diet (88 points), no additional water intake (15 points), and last stool appearance as an opaque liquid (0-80 points). The training set exhibited the following performance metrics for identifying BP failure: area under the curve (AUC) of 0.818, accuracy (ACC) of 0.818, positive likelihood ratio (PLR) of 2.397, negative likelihood ratio (NLR) of 0.162, positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.850, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.723. In the internal validation set, these metrics were 0.747, 0.776, 2.099, 0.278, 0.866, and 0.538, respectively. The external validation set showed values of 0.728, 0.757, 2.10, 0.247, 0.782, and 0.704, respectively, indicating strong discriminative ability. Calibration curves demonstrated close agreement, and DCA indicated superior clinical benefits at a threshold probability of 0.73 in the training cohort and 0.75 in the validation cohort for this model. CONCLUSIONS: This novel scoring system was developed from a prospective study and externally validated in an independent set based on 7 easily accessible variables, demonstrating robust performance in predicting inadequate BP.

Effects of clip anchoring on preventing migration of fully covered self-expandable metal stent in patients undergoing ERCP: a multicenter, randomized controlled study.

OBJECTIVES: Fully covered self-expandable metal stents (FCSEMS) are commonly placed in patients with biliary stricture during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). However, up to 40% of migration has been reported, resulting in treatment failure or the requirement for further intervention. Here we aimed to investigate the effects of metal clip anchoring on preventing the migration of FCSEMS. METHODS: Consecutive patients requiring placement of FCSEMS were included in this multicenter randomized trial. The enrolled patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive clip anchoring (clip group) or not (control group). The primary outcome was the migration rate at 6 months after stent insertion. The secondary outcomes were the rates of proximal and distal migration and stent-related adverse events. The analysis followed the intention-to-treat principle. RESULTS: From February 2020 to November 2022, 180 patients with biliary stricture were enrolled, with 90 in each group. The baseline characteristics were comparable between the two groups. The overall rate of stent migration at 6 months was significantly lower in the clip group compared to the control group (16.7% vs. 30.0%, p = 0.030). The proximal and distal migration rates were similar in the two groups (2.2% vs. 5.6%, p=0.205; 14.4% vs. 22.2%, p=0.070). Notably, none of the patients (0/8) who received two or more clips experienced stent migration. There were no significant differences in stent-related adverse events between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that clip-assisted anchoring is an effective and safe method for preventing migration of FCSEMS without increasing the adverse events.

Development and validation of a prognostic score to identify the optimal candidate for preemptive TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Baveno VII workshop recommends the use of preemptive TIPS (p-TIPS) in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding (AVB) at high- risk of treatment failure. However, the criteria defining "high-risk" have low clinical accessibility or include subjective variables. We aimed to develop and externally validate a model for better identification of p-TIPS candidates. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The derivation cohort included 1554 patients with cirrhosis and AVB who were treated with endoscopy plus drug (n = 1264) or p-TIPS (n = 290) from 12 hospitals in China between 2010 and 2017. We first used competing risk regression to develop a score for predicting 6-week and 1-year mortality in patients treated with endoscopy plus drugs, which included age, albumin, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, white blood cell, creatinine, and sodium. The score was internally validated with the bootstrap method, which showed good discrimination (6 wk/1 y concordance-index: 0.766/0.740) and calibration, and outperformed other currently available models. In the second stage, the developed score was combined with treatment and their interaction term to predicate the treatment effect of p-TIPS (mortality risk difference between treatment groups) in the whole derivation cohort. The estimated treatment effect of p-TIPS varied substantially among patients. The prediction model had good discriminative ability (6 wk/1 y c -for-benefit: 0.696/0.665) and was well calibrated. These results were confirmed in the validation dataset of 445 patients with cirrhosis with AVB from 6 hospitals in China between 2017 and 2019 (6-wk/1-y c-for-benefit: 0.675/0.672). CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a clinical prediction model that can help to identify individuals who will benefit from p-TIPS, which may guide clinical decision-making.

Individualized intervention based on a preparation-related prediction model improves adequacy of bowel preparation: A prospective, multi-center, randomized, controlled study.

AIMS: An easy-to-use preparation-related model (PRM) predicting inadequate bowel preparation (BP) was developed and proved superior to traditional models in our previous study. Here we aimed to investigate whether PRM-based individualized intervention can improve BP adequacy. METHODS: Patients undergoing morning colonoscopy were prospectively enrolled in 5 endoscopic centers in China. After standard BP of split-dose polyethylene glycol (PEG) was completed, patients were randomized (1:1) to the individualized group or standard group. High-risk patients predicted by PRM score ≥3 were instructed to drink an additional 1.5 L PEG in the individualized group while not in standard group. The primary endpoint was the rate of adequate BP, defined by segmental Boston bowel preparation scale ≥2. Secondary outcomes included adenoma detection rate (ADR) and adverse events. RESULTS: 900 patients were randomly allocated to the individualized group (n = 449) and the control (n = 451). Baseline characteristics were similar between the two groups. The rates of high-risk patients were 19.6 % in individualized group and 19.7 % in standard group. In intention-to-treat analysis, adequate BP was 91.8 % in individualized group and 84.7 % in the standard group (p = 0.001). Among high-risk patients, adequate BP rate was 94.3 % in individualized group and 49.3 % in standard group (p < 0.001), and ADR were 40.9 % vs 16.9 %, respectively (p < 0.001). No significant differences were found regarding the adverse events and willingness to repeat BP (all p >0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The individualized intervention using an additional dose of PEG to high-risk patients predicted by PRM, significantly improved BP quality. The intervention significantly improved ADR in high-risk patients. (ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT04434625).

Transcutaneous Auricular Vagal Nerve Stimulation Is Effective for the Treatment of Functional Dyspepsia: A Multicenter, Randomized Controlled Study.

INTRODUCTION: Vagal nerve stimulation (VNS) can be used to modulate gastrointestinal motility, inflammation, and nociception. However, it remains unclear whether VNS is effective in adult patients with functional dyspepsia (FD). We investigated the effectiveness of transcutaneous auricular VNS (taVNS) in patients with FD. METHODS: Consecutive patients with FD meeting Rome IV criteria with modified FD Symptom Diary score ≥10 were enrolled. Patients were randomly allocated to 10-Hz taVNS (V10 group), 25-Hz taVNS (V25 group), or sham group, with 30 minutes of treatment twice a day for 4 weeks. The primary outcome was the response rate at week 4, defined as the proportion of patients whose modified FD Symptom Diary score was reduced ≥5 when compared with the baseline. Secondary outcomes included adequate relief rate and adverse events. RESULTS: A total of 300 patients were randomized to V10 (n = 101), V25 (n = 99), and sham groups (n = 100). After 4 weeks of treatment, V10 and V25 groups had a higher response rate (81.2% vs 75.9% vs 47%, both P < 0.001) and adequate relief rate (85.1% vs 80.8% vs 67%, both P < 0.05) compared with the sham group. There was no significant difference between V10 and V25 in response rate and adequate relief rate (both P > 0.05). The efficacy of taVNS (both 10 and 25 Hz) lasted at week 8 and week 12 during follow-up period. Adverse events were all mild and comparable among the 3 groups (1%-3%). DISCUSSION: Our study firstly showed that 4-week taVNS (both 10 and 25 Hz) was effective and safe for the treatment of adult FD ( clinicaltrials.gov number: NCT04668534).

Clinical and virological features of asymptomatic and mild symptomatic patients with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection at Shanghai Fangcang shelter hospital.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to evaluate and compare clinical and virological characteristics of asymptomatic and mild symptomatic patients of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron BA.2.2 variant infection and identify risk factors associated with the prolonged viral negative conversion duration. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study in a Shanghai (China) Fangcang shelter hospital from April 9 to May 17, 2022. The patient-related demographic or clinical data were retrospectively recorded. Comparisons of demographic and clinical characteristics between asymptomatic and mild-symptomatic patients were performed. Cox regression was performed to identify the risk factors of prolonged viral negative conversion duration. RESULTS: A total of 551 patients confirmed with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infection were enrolled in the study. Of these, 297 patients (53.9%) were asymptomatic and 254 patients (46.1%) had mild symptoms. When comparing the clinical and virological characteristics between the asymptomatic and mild symptomatic groups, several clinical parameters, including age, gender, time to viral clearance from the first positive swab, chronic comorbidities, and vaccination dose did not show statistically significant differences. In mild symptomatic patients, the median viral negative conversion duration (NCD) was 7 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 5-9), which was comparable to the median of 7 days (IQR: 5-10) in asymptomatic patients (p = .943). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that patients age ≥ 60 years had a significantly higher hazard ratio (HR) for prolonged viral NCD (HR: 1.313; 95% confidence interval: 1.014-1.701, p = .039). CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic and symptomatic patients with non-severe SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2.2 variant infection have similar clinical features and virological courses. Old age was an independent risk factor for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 conversion time.

The gap before real clinical application of imaging-based machine-learning and radiomic models for chemoradiation outcome prediction in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Due to tumoral heterogeneity and the lack of robust biomarkers, the prediction of chemoradiotherapy response and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is challenging. The goal of this study was to assess the study quality and clinical value of machine learning and radiomic-based quantitative imaging studies for predicting the outcomes of EC patients after chemoradiotherapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane were searched for eligible articles. The methodological quality and risk of bias were evaluated using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS), Image Biomarkers Standardization Initiative (IBSI) Guideline, and Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, as well as the modified Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. A meta-analysis of the evidence focusing on predicting chemoradiotherapy response and outcome in EC patients was implemented. RESULTS: Forty-six studies were eligible for qualitative synthesis. The mean RQS score was 9.07, with an adherence rate of 42.52%. The adherence rates of the TRIPOD and IBSI were 61.70 and 43.17%, respectively. Ultimately, 24 studies were included in the meta-analysis, of which 16 studies had a pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (0.76-0.89), 0.83 (0.79-0.86), and 0.84 (0.81-0.87) in neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy datasets, as well as 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.89 (0.83-0.93), and 0.93 (0.90-0.95) in definitive chemoradiotherapy datasets, respectively. Moreover, radiomics could distinguish patients from the low-risk and high-risk groups with different disease-free survival (DFS) (pooled hazard ratio: 3.43, 95% CI 2.39-4.92) and overall survival (pooled hazard ratio: 2.49, 95% CI 1.91-3.25). The results of subgroup and regression analyses showed that some of the heterogeneity was explained by the combination with clinical factors, sample size, and usage of the deep learning (DL) signature. CONCLUSIONS: Noninvasive radiomics offers promising potential for optimizing treatment decision-making in EC patients. However, it is necessary to make scientific advancements in EC radiomics regarding reproducibility, clinical usefulness analysis, and open science categories. Improved model reporting of study objectives, blind assessment, and image processing steps are required to help promote real clinical applications of radiomics in EC research.

Association of nonmalignant portal vein thrombosis and clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding: a multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Baveno VII workshop recommends management of acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in cirrhotic patients with nonmalignant portal vein thrombosis (PVT) should be performed according to the guidelines for patients without PVT. Nevertheless, whether PVT affects the outcome of patients with cirrhosis and AVB remains unclear. The aim of this study was to assess the clinical impact of PVT on the outcomes in the pre-emptive TIPSS eligible patients with cirrhosis and AVB. METHODS: From December 2010 to June 2016, 1219 consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted due to AVB with (n = 151; 12.4%) or without PVT (n = 1068; 87.6%), who received drug plus endoscopic treatment (a combination of vasoactive drugs, antibiotics, and endoscopic ligation for AVB, followed by beta-blockers plus variceal ligation for prevention of rebleeding) were retrospectively included. Fine and Gray competing risk regression models were taken to evaluate the impact of PVT on clinical outcomes after adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: During follow-up, 211 patients (17.3%) died, 490 (40.2%) experienced further bleeding, and 78 (6.4%) experienced new or worsening ascites within 1 year. Compared with those without PVT, patients with PVT had a similar risk of mortality (PVT vs no-PVT: 19.9% vs 16.7% at 1 year; adjusted HR 0.88, 95%CI 0.51-1.52, p = 0.653), further bleeding (47.0% vs 39.2% at 1 year, adjusted HR 1.19, 95% CI 0.92-1.53, p = 183), and new or worsening ascites (7.9% vs 9.6%, adjusted HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.39-1.28, p = 0.253) after adjusting for confounders in multivariable models. These findings were consistent across different relevant subgroups and confirmed by propensity score matching analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed no evidence that the PVT was associated with an improved or worsened outcome among cirrhotic patients with AVB who received standard treatment.

Prolonged cannulation time is an independent risk factor for moderate-to-severe post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis: a large cohort study.

Background: Moderate-to-severe post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis contributes to most of the poor outcomes of patients with post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP). However, it remains unclear which part of the patient is more vulnerable to moderate-to-severe PEP (MS PEP). In this study, we aimed to identify the risk factors independently associated with MS PEP. Methods: Consecutive patients with native papilla who had undergone ERCP were included in this study. The patient-related and procedure-related variables were retrieved from a prospectively maintained ERCP database. The primary outcome was the incidence of PEP. MS PEP was defined as a prolonged hospital stay of ≥4 days (as per the Cotton criteria) or the presence of organ failure (as per the revised Atlanta criteria). A logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify the risk factors. Results: A total of 6,944 patients with native papilla who had undergone elective ERCP from January 2010 to February 2022 were included in this study. Among these 6,944 patients, 362 (5.2%) patients developed PEP. Among these 362 patients, 76 (1.1%) or 17 (0.2%) had MS PEP as per the Cotton criteria and the revised Atlanta criteria, respectively. The logistic analysis revealed that the independent risk factors for overall and mild PEP were similar, and included being female and inadvertent pancreatic duct (PD) cannulation. A total cannulation time >15 min was also found to be an independent risk factor for MS PEP as defined by both the Cotton criteria and the revised Atlanta criteria. Conclusions: This study found that female patients and those who had inadvertent PD cannulation were at risk of mild PEP. A total cannulation time >15 min was also found to be a risk factor for developing MS PEP.

Low-dose of magnesium sulfate solution was not inferior to standard regime of polyethylene glycol for bowel preparation in elderly patients: a randomized, controlled study.

BACKGROUND: Large polyethylene glycol (PEG) is a standard regimen for bowel preparation. However, elderly patients suffered from adverse events. This study was to compare the efficacy and safety of oral magnesium sulfate solution (MSS) vs standard PEG in elderly patients undergoing colonoscopy. METHODS: Elderly patients aged 60-90 years, from two endoscopic centers, were enrolled in China. Patients were randomized to take a low dose of MSS or a standard PEG regime in a split-dose regime. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with adequate bowel preparation, which was defined as the total Boston Bowel Preparation Scale (BBPS) ≥6 and each segmental BBPS was ≥2. Secondary outcomes included adenoma detection rate (ADR), safety, adverse events, cecal intubation rate, willingness to repeat BP, and so on. RESULTS: 1174 elderly patients were randomly allocated to the MSS group (n = 588) or the standard group (n = 586). Adequate BP was achieved in 94.0% of patients in the MSS group and 92.5% in the control (p = .287). ADR was also comparable between the two groups (43.0% and 39.9%, p = .282). Compared with the standard group, MSS group reported less abdominal discomfort (1.7% vs 6.0%), less nausea (13.6% vs 21.0%) and vomiting (1.2% vs 4.2%). The change in serum potassium levels after preparation in the standard group was significantly lower than that in the MSS group (-0.19 ± 0.08 vs -0.41 ± 0.11, p = .037). CONCLUSIONS: Low dose of MSS was not inferior to the standard PEG regime in terms of bowel preparation quality for elderly patients. Low-dose MSS offered fewer adverse events and better tolerability. It is a preferable choice for the elderly to undergo bowel preparation for colonoscopy. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04948567.

DNA damage response-related immune activation signature predicts the response to immune checkpoint inhibitors: from gastrointestinal cancer analysis to pan-cancer validation.

OBJECTIVE: DNA damage response (DDR) deficiency has emerged as a prominent determinant of tumor immunogenicity. This study aimed to construct a DDR-related immune activation (DRIA) signature and evaluate the predictive accuracy of the DRIA signature for response to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy in gastrointestinal (GI) cancer. METHODS: A DRIA signature was established based on two previously reported DNA damage immune response assays. Clinical and gene expression data from two published GI cancer cohorts were used to assess and validate the association between the DRIA score and response to ICI therapy. The predictive accuracy of the DRIA score was validated based on one ICI-treated melanoma and three pan-cancer published cohorts. RESULTS: The DRIA signature includes three genes (CXCL10, IDO1, and IFI44L). In the discovery cancer cohort, DRIA-high patients with gastric cancer achieved a higher response rate to ICI therapy than DRIA-low patients (81.8% vs. 8.8%; P < 0.001), and the predictive accuracy of the DRIA score [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.845] was superior to the predictive accuracy of PD-L1 expression, tumor mutational burden, microsatellite instability, and Epstein-Barr virus status. The validation cohort demonstrated that the DRIA score identified responders with microsatellite-stable colorectal and pancreatic adenocarcinoma who received dual PD-1 and CTLA-4 blockade with radiation therapy. Furthermore, the predictive performance of the DRIA score was shown to be robust through an extended validation in melanoma, urothelial cancer, and pan-cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The DRIA signature has superior and robust predictive accuracy for the efficacy of ICI therapy in GI cancer and pan-cancer, indicating that the DRIA signature may serve as a powerful biomarker for guiding ICI therapy decisions.

CLIF-C AD score predicts survival benefit from pre-emptive TIPS in individuals with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding.

Background & Aims: Among individuals with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding (AVB), the Baveno VII workshop recommended pre-emptive TIPS in those with a Child-Pugh score of 8-9 and active bleeding at initial endoscopy (Child B8-9 + AB criteria). Nevertheless, whether this criterion is superior to the CLIF-Consortium acute decompensation score (CLIF-C ADs) remains unclear. Methods: Data on 1,021 consecutive individuals with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and AVB from 13 university hospitals in China who were treated with pre-emptive TIPS (n = 297) or drug plus endoscopic treatment (n = 724) between 2010 to 2019 were retrospectively analysed. A competing risk regression model was used to compare the outcomes between the two groups after adjusting for confounders. The concordance-statistic for benefit (c-for-benefit) was used to evaluate a models' ability to predict treatment benefit (risk difference between treatment groups). Results: Pre-emptive TIPS was associated with reduced mortality compared to drug plus endoscopic treatment (adjusted hazard ratio 0.62, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.88). A higher baseline CLIF-C AD score was associated with greater survival benefit (i.e., larger absolute mortality risk reduction). After adjusting for confounders, a survival benefit was observed in individuals with CLIF-C ADs ≥48 or Child-Pugh B8-9 with active bleeding, but not in those with CILF-C ADs <48, no active bleeding or Child-Pugh B7 with active bleeding. The c-for-benefit of CILF-C ADs for predicting survival benefit was higher than that of Child B8-9+AB criteria. Conclusions: In individuals with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and AVB, CLIF-C ADs predicts survival benefit from pre-emptive TIPS and outperforms the Child B8-9+AB criteria. Prospective validation should be performed to confirm this result, especially for other aetiologies of cirrhosis. Impact and implications: In this study, among individuals with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding, the CLIF-Consortium acute decompensation (CLIF-C AD) score could predict the survival benefit from pre-emptive TIPS, with patients with higher CLIF-C AD scores benefiting more from pre-emptive TIPS. Furthermore, the CLIF-C AD score outperformed the Child B8-9 plus active bleeding criteria in terms of discriminating between those who obtained more benefit vs. less benefit from pre-emptive TIPS. Depending on prospective validation, the CLIF-C AD score could be used as the model of choice to determine who should undergo pre-emptive TIPS.

Efficacy and safety of ERCP in patients with situs inversus totalis: multicenter case series and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients with situs inversus totalis (SIT) is rarely understood due to its rarity. Patient position and endoscope manipulation were the main concerns in published case reports. The aim of this study was to investigate the efficacy and safety of ERCP in SIT patients. METHODS: Patients with SIT who underwent ERCP were enrolled in nine endoscopic centers in China. ERCP procedural details and complications in SIT patients were retrieved from electronic medical record. The data was retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS: From 2011 to 2021, totally 14 patients with SIT undergoing ERCP were identified. The mean age was 56.8 years old and the male-female ratio was 5:2. The main indication for ERCP was common bile duct stones (13/14, 92.9%). All procedure were performed by experienced endoscopists. 21.4% (3/14) of patients were under regular position (prone), while 78.6% under modified position (supine, left or right lateral). Difficult cannulation was occurred in 71.4% (10/14) of patients. The rate of successful cannulation was 85.7% (12/14). Complication occurred in 3 patients (3/14, 21.4%), including 1 bleeding, 1 pneumonia and 1 acute myocardial infarction. No post-pancreatitis or death happened. Compared to patients in modified position, those in prone position had numerically less successful cannulations (66.7% vs. 90.9%) and higher adverse events (33.3% vs. 18.2%). CONCLUSIONS: ERCP in patient with SIT is challenging even for experienced endoscopists, modified patient positions might have potential benefits concerning more successful cannulations and less complications. More case experiences are need for comprehensive understanding of ERCP in patients with SIT.

Superiority of a preparation-related model for predicting inadequate bowel preparation in patients undergoing colonoscopy: A multicenter prospective study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Three models based on patient-related factors have been developed to predict inadequate bowel preparation (BP). However, the performance of the models seems suboptimal. This study aimed to develop a novel preparation-related model and compare it with the available patient-related models. METHODS: Patients receiving standard BP were prospectively enrolled from five endoscopic centers. Patient-related and preparation-related factors for inadequate BP (defined by segmental Boston Bowel Preparation Scale score < 2) were identified by logistic regression. A preparation-related model was derived and internally validated in 906 patients. The comparisons of models were assessed by discrimination and calibration. The preparation-related model was also externally validated. RESULTS: Several patient-related factors (male and American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System score ≥ 3) and preparation-related factors (drinking-to-stool interval ≥ 3 h, preparation-to-colonoscopy interval ≥ 6 h, and poor rectal effluent) were found to be independently associated with inadequate BP (all P < 0.05). C-statistics was 0.81 for the preparation-related model in the training cohort (n = 604), significantly higher than three available patient-based models (0.58-0.61). Similar results were observed in the validation cohort (n = 302). Calibration curves showed close agreement in the preparation-related model (R2  = 0.315 in the training cohort and 0.279 in the validation cohort). The preparation-related model was externally validated in another 606 patients with C-index of 0.80. CONCLUSIONS: A new preparation-related model (consisting of drinking-to-stool interval ≥ 3 h, preparation-to-colonoscopy interval ≥ 6 h, and poor last rectal effluent) was developed and performed better than three available patient-related models. This easy-to-use model may be a useful decision-support tool on individualized plans in patients undergoing BP.

In vitro and in vivo evaluation of a novel wired transmission magnetically controlled capsule endoscopy system for upper gastrointestinal examination.

BACKGROUND: Magnetically controlled capsule endoscopy (MCCE) has recently increasingly been used for gastric examination. However, the image quality and esophageal observation is suboptimal. We developed a novel wired transmission magnetically controlled capsule endoscopy (WT-MCCE) system and evaluated its feasibility through in vitro and in vivo experiments. METHODS: A plastic stomach model and a pathological upper gastrointestinal model were used to evaluate the performance of WT-MCCE in vitro experiments. Twice of examination in the two in vitro models by WT-MCCE were performed by 5 endoscopists who were experienced in performing wireless capsule endoscopy. The examination of traditional gastroscopy (Olympus, GIF-HQ290) in the pathological upper gastrointestinal model was set as the control. In vivo experiments were performed in a live canine model by 3 endoscopists, in which WT-MCCE was inserted with the assistance of gastroscopy. Measurements included maneuverability, examination time, visualization of gastric mucosa, image quality and diagnostic accuracy. RESULTS: WT-MCCE showed good performance in both in vitro and in vivo experiments with excellent visualization of mucosa (75-100%). The mean operation time is 17.6 ± 2.7 min, 22.3 ± 1.9 min and 29.3 ± 3.4 min in three models, respectively. In pathological upper gastrointestinal model, all lesions, including esophageal varices, one polyp, one foreign body, two gastric ulcers and one duodenal ulcer, were detected by both WT-MCCE and traditional gastroscopy by all endoscopists. For the observation of esophagus and stomach in the canine model, WT-MCCE also showed excellent maneuverability and good image quality. CONCLUSIONS: The novel WT-MCCE system performed well in evaluating upper gastrointestinal landmarks and lesions in two in vitro models, and showed good performance in a canine model. WT-MCCE may be potentially useful for diagnosis of esophageal and gastric diseases.

Analysis of risk factors associated with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography for patients with liver cirrhosis: a multicenter, retrospective, clinical study.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is the endoscopic modality of choice for the treatment of biliary and pancreatic diseases. However, patients with cirrhosis, particularly those with decompensated cirrhosis, are believed to be at increased risk for complications associated with ERCP. There is a paucity of literature describing the outcomes of ERCP for patients with cirrhosis. This study aimed to investigate the outcomes of ERCP for cirrhosis patients, especially adverse events, and evaluated its safety and efficacy. METHODS: We performed a multicenter, retrospective study of all patients at Beijing Friendship Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University, Xijing Hospital affiliated to Air Force Military Medical University, Beijing Youan Hospital affiliated to Capital Medical University, and the Fifth Medical Center of the People's Liberation Army General Hospital from June 2003 to August 2019. The adverse events of inpatient ERCP for patients with ( n  = 182) and without liver cirrhosis (controls; n  = 385) were compared. RESULTS: A total of 567 patients underwent ERCP between January 2003 and December 2019 were enrolled in this study. Compared to patients without cirrhosis, patients with cirrhosis were at higher risk for postoperative complications (odds ratio [OR], 4.172; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.232-7.031; P  < 0.001) such as postoperative pancreatitis (OR, 2.026; 95% CI, 1.002-4.378; P  = 0.001) and cholangitis (OR, 3.903; 95% CI, 1.001-10.038; P  = 0.036). The main indications for ERCP for patients with cirrhosis in this study included choledocholithiasis (101 cases; 55.5%), benign bile duct strictures (46 cases; 25.3%), and malignant bile duct strictures (28 cases; 15.4%). Among them, 23 patients (12.6%) underwent balloon dilation and 79 patients (43.4%) underwent sphincterotomy. Of the patients with cirrhosis, delayed bleeding occurred in ten patients (5.5%), postoperative pancreatitis occurred in 80 patients (44.0%), and postoperative cholangitis occurred in 25 patients (13.7%). An additional multivariate analysis showed that the total bilirubin (TBIL) level (OR, 4.58; 95% CI, 2.37-6.70) and Child-Pugh score of C (OR, 3.11; 95% CI, 1.04-5.37) were risk factors for postoperative complications in patients with cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the general population of patients undergoing ERCP, patients with cirrhosis were more prone to postoperative pancreatitis and cholangitis. TBIL levels and Child-Pugh scores were risk factors for postoperative complications in patients with cirrhosis.

The Incidence and Severity of Post-ERCP Pancreatitis in Patients Receiving Standard Administration of NSAIDs: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Routine rectal administration of 100 mg of diclofenac or indomethacin was demonstrated to be an effective prevention method to prevent post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis. The systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the incidence and severity of post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP) and explore the discrepancies of PEP incidences among different subgroups. METHODS: The PubMed, Web of Science, and Ovid EMBASE databases were searched for studies published until December 2020. Only randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported rectal administration of 100 mg or higher doses of diclofenac or indomethacin, with PEP as the primary outcomes were eligible for inclusion. The overall and severity of PEP were estimated. Subgroup analysis was performed based on geographic regions, risk level, study beginning time, type of NSAIDs, administration time, and sample size. RESULTS: There were 26 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with 7954 patients in 31 NSAIDs arms. The pooled incidences were 7.2% for overall PEP (95% confidence interval (CI) 5.9-8.5%), 5.0% for mild PEP (95% CI, 4.0-6.0%), and 1.5% for moderate and severe PEP (0.8-2.3%). PEP rate were higher in patients receiving rectal indomethacin than that of patients receiving rectal diclofenac (7.8% (95% CI, 6.4-9.3%) vs 3.8% (95% CI, 2.2-5.3%), p = 0.009). The PEP rates of high-risk patients and average-risk patients were 8.9% (95% CI, 5.6-12.2%) and 6.4% (95% CI, 5.1-7.6%), respectively (p = 0.160). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PEP was higher in patients receiving 100 mg rectal indomethacin than patients receiving 100 mg diclofenac. The effect of 100 mg diclofenac versus indomethacin on preventing PEP requires further study.